Information-seeking failures of large language models in agentic clinical reasoning
Summary
A new agentic evaluation framework in hematologic oncology reveals that large language models (LLMs) struggle with information-seeking under uncertainty, despite achieving high scores on medical knowledge assessments. Across 32 frontier models, the best achieved only 68% overall accuracy. Information utilization, the fraction of available data actually requested, was the strongest predictor of diagnostic accuracy (R = 0.69, P < 0.001), yet utilization collapsed from 57% to 26% in the final round. Reasoning traces scored 91% above threshold on a clinical reasoning rubric but decorrelated from accuracy. Error analysis identified search satisficing, anchoring, and premature closure as dominant failure modes, mirroring cognitive biases in novice clinicians. This indicates LLMs' primary limitation in clinical oncology is systematic failure of information-seeking, not insufficient medical knowledge.
Key takeaway
For AI Scientists developing clinical decision support systems, you must prioritize active information-seeking capabilities over raw knowledge recall. Focus on designing models that proactively request and utilize critical data, especially molecular and cytogenetic information, to avoid diagnostic errors stemming from cognitive biases like premature closure and anchoring. Your systems should guide models to maintain high information utilization throughout the diagnostic process.
Key insights
LLMs fail in clinical reasoning due to poor information-seeking under uncertainty, not insufficient medical knowledge.
Principles
- Information utilization strongly predicts diagnostic accuracy.
- Locally coherent rationales do not ensure globally correct conclusions.
- LLMs exhibit cognitive biases similar to novice clinicians.
Method
An agentic evaluation framework requires models to proactively request clinical data across three sequential rounds before committing to a diagnosis and treatment plan.
In practice
- Evaluate LLMs on active information-seeking capabilities.
- Focus model training on uncertainty management strategies.
- Design systems to mitigate search satisficing and anchoring.
Topics
- Clinical Reasoning
- Large Language Models
- Agentic AI
- Diagnostic Accuracy
- Information Seeking
- Cognitive Biases
Best for: AI Scientist, Machine Learning Engineer, Research Scientist
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Editorial summary, takeaway, and curation by AIssential. Original article published by Artificial Intelligence.