ModusPonens at SemEval-2026 Task 11: Breaking the Plausibility Trap in LLMs via Conflict-Aware Ensembling
Summary
ModusPonens' submission to SemEval-2026 Task 11 addresses the "belief bias" in Large Language Models (LLMs), where formal logical validity is confused with real-world plausibility. The team found that standard neuro-symbolic interventions like Structural Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and Nonsense Augmentation degraded performance in low-resource settings due to an "abstraction penalty." Their proposed solution is a Conflict-Aware Logit Ensemble, which fine-tunes two Qwen-2.5-14B models: a standard "Believer" and a bias-hardened "Skeptic" trained on oversampled conflict data. Ensembling their logits via soft-voting achieved a Total Content Effect (TCE) of 3.21, an overall accuracy of 94.27%, and a Combined Score of 39.09, demonstrating a Pareto-optimal balance.
Key takeaway
For AI Scientists and Machine Learning Engineers tackling logical reasoning tasks, be aware that standard neuro-symbolic interventions might degrade performance in low-resource settings. Instead, consider implementing a Conflict-Aware Logit Ensemble by fine-tuning distinct "Believer" and "Skeptic" models. This approach can achieve a Pareto-optimal balance between reducing belief bias and maintaining high accuracy in your LLM applications.
Key insights
Ensembling specialized LLMs with conflict-aware logits mitigates belief bias.
Principles
- LLMs often struggle to separate logical validity from real-world plausibility.
- Standard neuro-symbolic interventions can degrade performance in low-resource regimes.
- Conflict-aware ensembling balances heuristic and logical reasoning.
Method
Fine-tune a standard "Believer" LLM and a bias-hardened "Skeptic" LLM on oversampled conflict data, then ensemble their logits via soft-voting.
In practice
- Fine-tune Qwen-2.5-14B for specific reasoning roles.
- Oversample conflict data to harden models against bias.
- Implement soft-voting for logit ensembling.
Topics
- Large Language Models
- Belief Bias
- Neuro-symbolic AI
- Ensemble Methods
- Qwen-2.5-14B
- SemEval-2026 Task 11
Best for: AI Engineer, Research Scientist, AI Scientist, Machine Learning Engineer, NLP Engineer
Related on AIssential
Editorial summary, takeaway, and curation by AIssential. Original article published by Paper Index on ACL Anthology.